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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.28+3.38vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.40+2.06vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57+1.21vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania2.16+0.67vs Predicted
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5George Washington University1.82+0.10vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.77-0.61vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.98-1.67vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University1.26-1.53vs Predicted
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9Cornell University1.79-3.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.38U. S. Naval Academy2.2813.6%1st Place
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4.06Georgetown University2.4015.8%1st Place
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4.21St. Mary's College of Maryland2.5714.8%1st Place
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4.67University of Pennsylvania2.1613.2%1st Place
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5.1George Washington University1.829.6%1st Place
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5.39Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.7710.3%1st Place
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5.33Fordham University1.988.5%1st Place
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6.47Old Dominion University1.265.3%1st Place
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5.4Cornell University1.798.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Welburn | 13.6% | 13.3% | 13.4% | 13.9% | 12.3% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 4.5% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 15.8% | 16.9% | 14.2% | 12.4% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 3.5% |
| Owen Hennessey | 14.8% | 15.4% | 14.3% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 12.6% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 4.0% |
| Jackson McAliley | 13.2% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 12.7% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 7.6% |
| Tyler Wood | 9.6% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 13.3% | 10.2% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 10.3% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 12.8% | 14.0% | 14.3% |
| Jacob Zils | 8.5% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 12.6% | 12.7% | 12.1% | 13.2% | 11.8% |
| Blake Goodwin | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 11.6% | 16.0% | 31.1% |
| Sophia Devling | 8.8% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 13.9% | 12.6% | 13.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.