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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.20+2.13vs Predicted
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2Cornell University1.96+1.57vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.91+2.90vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67+2.18vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania1.16+0.29vs Predicted
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6George Washington University0.93-0.30vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.04-3.19vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University0.97-2.65vs Predicted
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9Fordham University0.71-2.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.13Georgetown University2.2023.7%1st Place
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3.57Cornell University1.9618.3%1st Place
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5.9Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.915.7%1st Place
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6.18St. Mary's College of Maryland0.674.8%1st Place
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5.29University of Pennsylvania1.168.2%1st Place
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5.7George Washington University0.937.4%1st Place
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3.81U. S. Naval Academy2.0417.8%1st Place
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5.35Old Dominion University0.978.2%1st Place
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6.07Fordham University0.716.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Piper Holthus | 23.7% | 21.6% | 17.8% | 13.2% | 10.8% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Winborne Majette | 18.3% | 17.6% | 17.5% | 15.6% | 12.0% | 9.2% | 5.8% | 2.5% | 1.4% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 5.7% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 12.5% | 13.8% | 15.8% | 17.9% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 4.8% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 12.2% | 12.4% | 18.4% | 21.9% |
| Adra Ivancich | 8.2% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 14.0% | 12.2% | 10.7% |
| Avery Canavan | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 12.7% | 13.4% | 15.2% | 16.1% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 17.8% | 15.7% | 15.0% | 15.1% | 13.5% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 1.8% |
| Gianna Dewey | 8.2% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 12.7% | 11.9% | 13.7% | 14.6% | 10.0% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 12.7% | 15.4% | 15.4% | 20.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.