Race 1A

st-mary-spring-opener

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Jack DeNatale 19.0% 17.3% 15.3% 16.7% 11.9% 10.0% 6.3% 2.9% 0.6%
Matt Logue 9.3% 13.0% 15.5% 14.2% 16.2% 13.1% 10.3% 5.8% 2.6%
Lewis Cooper 17.2% 16.2% 15.4% 14.9% 12.2% 13.8% 6.3% 2.8% 1.2%
Colleen O'Brien 20.3% 18.9% 18.1% 14.9% 11.7% 7.4% 5.9% 2.2% 0.6%
Michael Ehnot 15.4% 16.6% 14.5% 12.5% 12.8% 10.7% 9.9% 5.5% 2.1%
Francis Selldorff 4.7% 4.2% 6.9% 7.1% 8.6% 12.0% 17.8% 21.5% 17.2%
John DeRuff 3.7% 3.6% 3.1% 5.1% 8.6% 8.8% 16.1% 23.1% 27.9%
Hunter Cutting 3.9% 2.7% 2.8% 4.3% 6.2% 9.2% 12.0% 20.6% 38.3%
Gloria Kevliciute 6.5% 7.5% 8.4% 10.3% 11.8% 15.0% 15.4% 15.6% 9.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.