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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University2.68+3.24vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.01+1.81vs Predicted
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3Boston College1.62+3.35vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.94-0.35vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.01+0.46vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland1.15+1.08vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.07-3.54vs Predicted
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8George Washington University1.34-1.17vs Predicted
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9George Washington University2.74-4.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.24George Washington University2.680.1%1st Place
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3.81Boston College3.010.2%1st Place
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6.35Boston College1.620.0%1st Place
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3.65St. Mary's College of Maryland2.940.2%1st Place
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5.46St. Mary's College of Maryland2.010.1%1st Place
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7.08St. Mary's College of Maryland1.150.0%1st Place
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3.46Boston College3.070.2%1st Place
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6.83George Washington University1.340.0%1st Place
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4.11George Washington University2.740.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Logue | 14.3% | 12.7% | 12.3% | 14.6% | 14.8% | 13.6% | 9.6% | 6.4% | 1.7% |
| Jack DeNatale | 15.4% | 17.0% | 15.8% | 15.6% | 13.0% | 11.1% | 7.7% | 2.9% | 1.5% |
| Francis Selldorff | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 20.3% | 20.3% | 18.4% |
| Lewis Cooper | 17.8% | 17.7% | 16.9% | 14.3% | 13.1% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 1.1% |
| Gloria Kevliciute | 6.9% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 14.4% | 13.9% | 13.9% | 11.6% |
| Hunter Cutting | 3.3% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 22.6% | 34.9% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 19.7% | 18.4% | 17.3% | 14.6% | 12.8% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 0.3% |
| John DeRuff | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 10.2% | 15.1% | 22.0% | 29.0% |
| Michael Ehnot | 14.8% | 13.9% | 13.9% | 13.8% | 14.2% | 13.1% | 9.9% | 4.9% | 1.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.