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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.40+3.14vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.28+2.38vs Predicted
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3Cornell University1.79+2.30vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.77+1.48vs Predicted
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5Fordham University1.98+0.16vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57-1.79vs Predicted
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7George Washington University1.82-1.91vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University1.26-1.57vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania2.16-4.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.14Georgetown University2.4015.4%1st Place
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4.38U. S. Naval Academy2.2813.4%1st Place
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5.3Cornell University1.799.9%1st Place
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5.48Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.778.8%1st Place
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5.16Fordham University1.9810.2%1st Place
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4.21St. Mary's College of Maryland2.5716.4%1st Place
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5.09George Washington University1.8210.2%1st Place
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6.43Old Dominion University1.265.6%1st Place
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4.82University of Pennsylvania2.1610.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
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Mateo Di Blasi | 15.4% | 15.9% | 13.0% | 13.5% | 12.7% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 3.5% |
Jack Welburn | 13.4% | 15.0% | 14.1% | 12.3% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 5.3% |
Sophia Devling | 9.9% | 8.0% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 12.8% | 12.0% | 13.8% | 11.9% |
Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 11.9% | 13.5% | 15.9% |
Jacob Zils | 10.2% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 12.5% | 11.7% |
Owen Hennessey | 16.4% | 13.8% | 13.7% | 13.0% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 6.5% | 4.7% |
Tyler Wood | 10.2% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 12.2% | 10.7% | 12.1% | 13.6% | 11.9% | 9.4% |
Blake Goodwin | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 16.3% | 30.2% |
Jackson McAliley | 10.1% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 13.8% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 7.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.