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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.07+2.50vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.01+1.74vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland1.15+4.15vs Predicted
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4George Washington University2.68+0.16vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.74-0.98vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.94-2.30vs Predicted
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7Boston College1.62-0.63vs Predicted
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8George Washington University1.34-1.18vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland2.01-3.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.5Boston College3.070.2%1st Place
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3.74Boston College3.010.2%1st Place
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7.15St. Mary's College of Maryland1.150.0%1st Place
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4.16George Washington University2.680.1%1st Place
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4.02George Washington University2.740.1%1st Place
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3.7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.940.2%1st Place
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6.37Boston College1.620.1%1st Place
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6.82George Washington University1.340.0%1st Place
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5.55St. Mary's College of Maryland2.010.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colleen O'Brien | 20.6% | 18.3% | 14.8% | 16.0% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 0.6% |
| Jack DeNatale | 15.1% | 17.9% | 16.3% | 15.5% | 14.4% | 10.4% | 6.7% | 2.7% | 1.0% |
| Hunter Cutting | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 14.3% | 20.4% | 37.3% |
| Matt Logue | 13.2% | 13.7% | 15.2% | 14.7% | 14.3% | 12.9% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 1.6% |
| Michael Ehnot | 14.8% | 16.7% | 16.0% | 10.7% | 13.6% | 12.0% | 8.9% | 5.2% | 2.1% |
| Lewis Cooper | 17.4% | 16.4% | 15.9% | 15.2% | 14.1% | 11.4% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Francis Selldorff | 5.3% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 20.1% | 19.3% | 19.7% |
| John DeRuff | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 14.3% | 23.8% | 28.3% |
| Gloria Kevliciute | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 15.7% | 17.2% | 15.6% | 8.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.