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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University2.68+3.26vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.07+1.65vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.94+0.73vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland1.15+3.03vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.74-0.98vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.01-0.44vs Predicted
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7Boston College1.62-0.67vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.01-4.40vs Predicted
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9George Washington University1.34-2.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.26George Washington University2.680.1%1st Place
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3.65Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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3.73St. Mary's College of Maryland2.940.2%1st Place
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7.03St. Mary's College of Maryland1.150.0%1st Place
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4.02George Washington University2.740.2%1st Place
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5.56St. Mary's College of Maryland2.010.1%1st Place
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6.33Boston College1.620.1%1st Place
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3.6Boston College3.010.2%1st Place
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6.81George Washington University1.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Logue | 13.4% | 12.8% | 14.2% | 14.2% | 14.6% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 6.6% | 2.1% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 14.7% | 19.2% | 18.7% | 15.4% | 13.0% | 9.2% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 1.0% |
| Lewis Cooper | 18.2% | 14.8% | 16.3% | 15.2% | 14.1% | 10.2% | 6.7% | 3.5% | 1.0% |
| Hunter Cutting | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 15.1% | 18.9% | 35.8% |
| Michael Ehnot | 16.0% | 16.5% | 13.1% | 13.0% | 12.6% | 12.6% | 8.7% | 5.1% | 2.4% |
| Gloria Kevliciute | 6.2% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 16.2% | 15.9% | 14.5% | 10.0% |
| Francis Selldorff | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 17.2% | 22.7% | 17.6% |
| Jack DeNatale | 19.7% | 17.5% | 15.7% | 14.0% | 12.3% | 10.2% | 6.3% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| John DeRuff | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 11.1% | 13.8% | 22.3% | 29.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.