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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.94+2.76vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.01+3.76vs Predicted
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3George Washington University2.74+1.17vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.07-0.59vs Predicted
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5George Washington University1.34+1.64vs Predicted
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6George Washington University2.68-1.83vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.01-3.41vs Predicted
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8Boston College1.62-1.65vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland1.15-1.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.76St. Mary's College of Maryland2.940.2%1st Place
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5.76St. Mary's College of Maryland2.010.1%1st Place
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4.17George Washington University2.740.1%1st Place
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3.41Boston College3.070.2%1st Place
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6.64George Washington University1.340.0%1st Place
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4.17George Washington University2.680.1%1st Place
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3.59Boston College3.010.2%1st Place
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6.35Boston College1.620.1%1st Place
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7.15St. Mary's College of Maryland1.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lewis Cooper | 17.4% | 16.8% | 13.8% | 16.9% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 6.8% | 3.6% | 1.0% |
| Gloria Kevliciute | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 13.1% | 14.2% | 16.5% | 16.9% | 10.8% |
| Michael Ehnot | 14.2% | 13.1% | 14.9% | 12.8% | 13.7% | 14.7% | 9.8% | 5.7% | 1.1% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 20.2% | 19.8% | 16.1% | 14.8% | 12.3% | 9.2% | 5.0% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| John DeRuff | 3.4% | 3.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 13.3% | 23.1% | 26.1% |
| Matt Logue | 13.1% | 12.7% | 16.0% | 15.3% | 13.6% | 12.4% | 9.6% | 5.5% | 1.8% |
| Jack DeNatale | 18.3% | 19.3% | 15.4% | 13.8% | 13.7% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
| Francis Selldorff | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 11.5% | 18.4% | 20.4% | 19.5% |
| Hunter Cutting | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 13.0% | 20.2% | 38.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.