Race 6A

st-mary-spring-opener

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Lewis Cooper 17.2% 16.1% 16.3% 16.3% 12.3% 10.6% 6.3% 3.9% 1.0%
Hunter Cutting 2.4% 2.2% 3.1% 3.1% 7.7% 7.6% 13.3% 21.5% 39.1%
Colleen O'Brien 20.7% 16.2% 18.1% 13.1% 11.7% 10.9% 6.4% 2.3% 0.6%
Matt Logue 12.3% 15.6% 15.0% 13.4% 13.2% 12.8% 10.6% 5.0% 2.1%
Francis Selldorff 4.1% 6.7% 6.8% 8.1% 8.8% 10.2% 17.0% 20.1% 18.2%
Michael Ehnot 14.0% 14.6% 14.8% 14.5% 15.1% 12.8% 7.7% 4.9% 1.6%
Gloria Kevliciute 6.5% 6.1% 8.2% 9.2% 11.5% 15.5% 17.6% 17.3% 8.1%
John DeRuff 4.1% 4.1% 3.7% 4.8% 7.4% 10.1% 15.1% 21.8% 28.9%
Jack DeNatale 18.7% 18.4% 14.0% 17.5% 12.3% 9.5% 6.0% 3.2% 0.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.