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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.94+2.71vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.07+1.65vs Predicted
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3George Washington University2.68+1.25vs Predicted
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4George Washington University2.74+0.06vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland1.15+1.96vs Predicted
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6Boston College1.62+0.31vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.01-1.36vs Predicted
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8George Washington University1.34-1.15vs Predicted
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9Boston College3.01-5.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.71St. Mary's College of Maryland2.940.2%1st Place
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3.65Boston College3.070.2%1st Place
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4.25George Washington University2.680.1%1st Place
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4.06George Washington University2.740.1%1st Place
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6.96St. Mary's College of Maryland1.150.0%1st Place
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6.31Boston College1.620.0%1st Place
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5.64St. Mary's College of Maryland2.010.1%1st Place
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6.85George Washington University1.340.0%1st Place
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3.57Boston College3.010.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lewis Cooper | 17.6% | 18.0% | 14.3% | 14.8% | 13.2% | 10.5% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 0.7% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 16.2% | 19.2% | 17.4% | 14.8% | 12.2% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Matt Logue | 13.9% | 12.7% | 13.7% | 14.5% | 12.7% | 13.6% | 11.1% | 6.5% | 1.3% |
| Michael Ehnot | 14.2% | 15.6% | 15.1% | 13.4% | 13.8% | 11.9% | 9.1% | 4.9% | 2.0% |
| Hunter Cutting | 2.4% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 12.1% | 19.8% | 35.3% |
| Francis Selldorff | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 12.4% | 16.7% | 21.8% | 18.2% |
| Gloria Kevliciute | 7.1% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 14.4% | 18.0% | 16.1% | 9.3% |
| John DeRuff | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 14.3% | 21.1% | 31.0% |
| Jack DeNatale | 19.9% | 16.7% | 15.7% | 14.3% | 14.2% | 10.7% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.