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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania1.16+4.33vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.20+1.13vs Predicted
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3Cornell University1.96+0.70vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.91+1.83vs Predicted
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5Fordham University0.71+1.07vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University0.97-0.60vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.04-3.23vs Predicted
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8George Washington University0.93-2.24vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67-3.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.33University of Pennsylvania1.168.2%1st Place
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3.13Georgetown University2.2024.1%1st Place
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3.7Cornell University1.9618.5%1st Place
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5.83Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.916.5%1st Place
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6.07Fordham University0.715.1%1st Place
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5.4Old Dominion University0.978.2%1st Place
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3.77U. S. Naval Academy2.0416.8%1st Place
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5.76George Washington University0.936.6%1st Place
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6.0St. Mary's College of Maryland0.676.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adra Ivancich | 8.2% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 13.2% | 13.8% | 13.1% | 10.4% |
| Piper Holthus | 24.1% | 22.0% | 17.4% | 13.2% | 9.8% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Winborne Majette | 18.5% | 17.3% | 16.4% | 13.5% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 1.9% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 13.2% | 16.1% | 17.5% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 13.3% | 16.5% | 20.4% |
| Gianna Dewey | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 12.9% | 12.4% | 13.2% | 12.9% | 12.4% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 16.8% | 16.5% | 15.8% | 16.2% | 11.9% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 3.7% | 1.2% |
| Avery Canavan | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 13.7% | 16.4% | 15.5% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 14.3% | 16.0% | 20.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.