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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University2.55+2.95vs Predicted
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2Tulane University2.69+1.70vs Predicted
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3Tulane University1.88+2.44vs Predicted
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4Tulane University2.50+0.06vs Predicted
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5Tulane University2.70-1.38vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.91-0.73vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida2.16-2.24vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University-0.23+0.85vs Predicted
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9Jacksonville University1.04-2.02vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida0.18-1.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.95Jacksonville University2.550.2%1st Place
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3.7Tulane University2.690.2%1st Place
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5.44Tulane University1.880.1%1st Place
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4.06Tulane University2.500.1%1st Place
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3.62Tulane University2.700.2%1st Place
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5.27University of South Florida1.910.1%1st Place
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4.76University of South Florida2.160.1%1st Place
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8.85Jacksonville University-0.230.0%1st Place
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6.98Jacksonville University1.040.0%1st Place
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8.38University of South Florida0.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlotte Rose | 17.5% | 15.4% | 15.0% | 11.4% | 13.6% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| Marcus Huttunen | 18.6% | 17.2% | 14.3% | 15.8% | 12.3% | 9.9% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| William Keenan | 7.9% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 11.4% | 13.8% | 17.7% | 14.2% | 7.6% | 1.2% |
| Thad Lettsome | 14.5% | 14.8% | 15.1% | 14.9% | 12.8% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 5.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 18.7% | 16.6% | 17.4% | 15.7% | 12.5% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Sydney Monahan | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 13.1% | 13.6% | 14.9% | 13.0% | 6.4% | 1.9% |
| Marina Barzaghi | 8.5% | 12.8% | 11.3% | 13.8% | 13.0% | 15.5% | 12.1% | 8.4% | 3.4% | 1.2% |
| Mary Mann | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 9.9% | 23.9% | 51.9% |
| Isabel Smith | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 10.0% | 12.8% | 24.7% | 20.5% | 9.2% |
| Lexie Foos | 1.4% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 11.9% | 32.5% | 34.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.