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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University1.82+3.97vs Predicted
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2Cornell University1.79+3.34vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57+1.25vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.28+0.35vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.40-0.81vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University1.26+0.52vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.98-1.80vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania2.16-3.22vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.77-3.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.97George Washington University1.8210.9%1st Place
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5.34Cornell University1.7910.0%1st Place
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4.25St. Mary's College of Maryland2.5714.8%1st Place
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4.35U. S. Naval Academy2.2815.2%1st Place
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4.19Georgetown University2.4014.3%1st Place
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6.52Old Dominion University1.264.1%1st Place
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5.2Fordham University1.9810.3%1st Place
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4.78University of Pennsylvania2.1611.8%1st Place
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5.4Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.778.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
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Tyler Wood | 10.9% | 9.3% | 12.5% | 11.9% | 11.3% | 12.4% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 9.8% |
Sophia Devling | 10.0% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 12.4% | 10.4% | 13.6% | 13.5% |
Owen Hennessey | 14.8% | 14.9% | 14.0% | 13.8% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 4.3% |
Jack Welburn | 15.2% | 13.5% | 12.2% | 12.7% | 12.6% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 8.1% | 4.0% |
Mateo Di Blasi | 14.3% | 17.2% | 12.6% | 12.2% | 13.2% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 3.9% |
Blake Goodwin | 4.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 11.3% | 16.2% | 32.4% |
Jacob Zils | 10.3% | 9.2% | 12.2% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 13.7% | 12.6% | 11.5% |
Jackson McAliley | 11.8% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 12.8% | 11.7% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 6.8% |
Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 8.5% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 13.2% | 13.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.