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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.23+1.56vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University2.54+1.81vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University1.53+2.60vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University2.46-0.34vs Predicted
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5Georgia Institute of Technology0.05+2.75vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston2.64-2.59vs Predicted
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7The Citadel1.11-0.68vs Predicted
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8North Carolina State University1.33-2.11vs Predicted
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9Clemson University1.27-3.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.56College of Charleston3.230.3%1st Place
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3.81North Carolina State University2.540.1%1st Place
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5.6Jacksonville University1.530.1%1st Place
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3.66Jacksonville University2.460.2%1st Place
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7.75Georgia Institute of Technology0.050.0%1st Place
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3.41College of Charleston2.640.2%1st Place
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6.32The Citadel1.110.0%1st Place
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5.89North Carolina State University1.330.1%1st Place
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5.99Clemson University1.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Brown | 32.2% | 24.2% | 19.0% | 11.7% | 7.3% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Scott Harris | 13.2% | 17.5% | 16.5% | 16.5% | 14.0% | 12.6% | 6.1% | 3.3% | 0.3% |
| David Perez | 5.3% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 11.8% | 12.3% | 15.6% | 17.6% | 16.0% | 7.2% |
| Telmo Basterra | 16.0% | 17.5% | 16.7% | 16.3% | 14.7% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Cole Woerner | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 15.6% | 55.1% |
| Marian Frances Williams | 17.8% | 18.9% | 18.6% | 16.9% | 13.8% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Gregory Walters | 4.5% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 10.6% | 14.0% | 17.4% | 24.4% | 13.9% |
| Hogan O'Donnell | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 12.2% | 14.1% | 19.4% | 17.5% | 10.7% |
| emilia giovine | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 16.4% | 18.0% | 19.1% | 11.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.