Race 2A

smc-spring-fling

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Jack DeNatale 21.4% 17.5% 16.4% 16.3% 10.5% 8.2% 6.3% 2.9% 0.5%
Lewis Cooper 15.7% 18.7% 16.0% 14.8% 13.2% 9.3% 7.1% 3.8% 1.4%
Keiran James Golden 9.1% 9.3% 11.1% 12.0% 13.3% 13.5% 12.8% 11.7% 7.2%
Colleen O'Brien 22.9% 20.3% 17.4% 15.0% 9.8% 8.1% 3.9% 1.8% 0.8%
Bridget Groble 6.2% 9.2% 10.0% 11.3% 12.3% 11.0% 12.9% 13.9% 13.2%
Chip Kreuzkamp 9.2% 8.9% 10.9% 10.7% 13.7% 14.2% 13.8% 11.5% 7.1%
Katherine Bennett 6.1% 6.2% 7.8% 7.8% 10.2% 15.7% 14.8% 17.4% 14.0%
John Glenn 5.4% 4.5% 5.8% 7.1% 7.8% 10.6% 15.5% 18.5% 24.8%
Chris Robertson 4.0% 5.4% 4.6% 5.0% 9.2% 9.4% 12.9% 18.5% 31.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.