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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University2.50+2.12vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.94+0.51vs Predicted
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3George Washington University2.68-0.10vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.34+0.93vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland0.79+0.64vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.01-2.12vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland1.15-1.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.12George Washington University2.500.2%1st Place
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2.51St. Mary's College of Maryland2.940.3%1st Place
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2.9George Washington University2.680.2%1st Place
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4.93George Washington University1.340.1%1st Place
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5.64St. Mary's College of Maryland0.790.0%1st Place
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3.88St. Mary's College of Maryland2.010.1%1st Place
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5.02St. Mary's College of Maryland1.150.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Priebe | 21.1% | 20.1% | 19.0% | 17.3% | 13.7% | 6.1% | 2.7% |
| Lewis Cooper | 30.0% | 25.3% | 22.4% | 12.4% | 6.4% | 3.0% | 0.5% |
| Matt Logue | 23.0% | 23.5% | 18.4% | 18.6% | 9.8% | 5.0% | 1.7% |
| John DeRuff | 5.1% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 21.5% | 24.2% | 20.9% |
| Lucas Masiello | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 13.3% | 22.4% | 43.1% |
| Gloria Kevliciute | 12.1% | 11.9% | 17.3% | 20.2% | 18.5% | 13.4% | 6.6% |
| Hunter Cutting | 5.6% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 11.9% | 16.8% | 25.9% | 24.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.