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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.94+1.51vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.01+1.87vs Predicted
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3George Washington University2.50+0.13vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland0.79+1.70vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.68-2.08vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland1.15-0.87vs Predicted
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7George Washington University1.34-2.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.51St. Mary's College of Maryland2.940.3%1st Place
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3.87St. Mary's College of Maryland2.010.1%1st Place
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3.13George Washington University2.500.2%1st Place
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5.7St. Mary's College of Maryland0.790.0%1st Place
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2.92George Washington University2.680.2%1st Place
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5.13St. Mary's College of Maryland1.150.1%1st Place
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4.73George Washington University1.340.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lewis Cooper | 32.7% | 24.8% | 18.2% | 12.5% | 7.6% | 3.4% | 0.8% |
| Gloria Kevliciute | 10.6% | 14.0% | 16.7% | 20.6% | 19.1% | 13.0% | 6.0% |
| Matthew Priebe | 18.9% | 20.9% | 20.5% | 18.5% | 12.2% | 7.2% | 1.8% |
| Lucas Masiello | 2.7% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 13.5% | 21.3% | 45.2% |
| Matt Logue | 22.0% | 23.9% | 20.2% | 16.2% | 10.7% | 5.4% | 1.6% |
| Hunter Cutting | 5.4% | 4.0% | 9.8% | 12.3% | 17.0% | 24.2% | 27.3% |
| John DeRuff | 7.7% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 19.9% | 25.5% | 17.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.