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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University1.96+2.65vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.20+1.19vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.04+0.74vs Predicted
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4George Washington University0.93+1.76vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67+0.97vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania1.16-0.76vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University0.97-1.67vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.91-1.98vs Predicted
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9Fordham University0.71-2.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.65Cornell University1.9619.8%1st Place
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3.19Georgetown University2.2022.6%1st Place
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3.74U. S. Naval Academy2.0417.5%1st Place
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5.76George Washington University0.936.9%1st Place
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5.97St. Mary's College of Maryland0.675.3%1st Place
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5.24University of Pennsylvania1.168.6%1st Place
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5.33Old Dominion University0.978.9%1st Place
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6.02Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.915.3%1st Place
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6.1Fordham University0.715.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winborne Majette | 19.8% | 15.4% | 17.7% | 14.1% | 12.0% | 9.5% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 1.1% |
| Piper Holthus | 22.6% | 21.8% | 17.2% | 15.0% | 10.0% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 17.5% | 17.6% | 15.0% | 14.7% | 12.6% | 10.7% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 1.8% |
| Avery Canavan | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 13.3% | 14.8% | 13.9% | 16.6% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 5.3% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 13.9% | 15.9% | 19.2% |
| Adra Ivancich | 8.6% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 12.5% | 12.4% | 13.5% | 11.7% | 11.1% |
| Gianna Dewey | 8.9% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 13.2% | 12.1% | 12.1% | 14.3% | 11.0% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 10.6% | 12.5% | 14.5% | 16.4% | 18.8% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 11.7% | 14.8% | 17.1% | 20.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.