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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.94+1.50vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland1.15+3.13vs Predicted
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3George Washington University2.68-0.13vs Predicted
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4George Washington University2.50-0.85vs Predicted
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5George Washington University1.34-0.03vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland0.79-0.36vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.01-3.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.940.3%1st Place
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5.13St. Mary's College of Maryland1.150.1%1st Place
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2.87George Washington University2.680.2%1st Place
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3.15George Washington University2.500.2%1st Place
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4.97George Washington University1.340.0%1st Place
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5.64St. Mary's College of Maryland0.790.0%1st Place
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3.74St. Mary's College of Maryland2.010.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lewis Cooper | 31.4% | 26.5% | 17.8% | 13.0% | 8.1% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| Hunter Cutting | 5.2% | 5.0% | 8.5% | 11.6% | 17.4% | 27.4% | 24.9% |
| Matt Logue | 21.8% | 24.0% | 22.5% | 15.5% | 10.4% | 4.8% | 1.0% |
| Matthew Priebe | 20.6% | 17.6% | 21.7% | 18.6% | 12.1% | 6.6% | 2.8% |
| John DeRuff | 4.7% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 12.5% | 17.7% | 24.6% | 22.9% |
| Lucas Masiello | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 9.2% | 14.7% | 21.3% | 43.0% |
| Gloria Kevliciute | 13.2% | 15.4% | 14.7% | 19.6% | 19.6% | 13.1% | 4.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.