Race 1A

navy-spring-fleet-race

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Gray Benson 10.8% 10.3% 11.5% 12.0% 12.9% 15.7% 11.6% 12.2% 3.0%
Ciara Rodriguez-Horan 9.6% 11.8% 12.7% 15.0% 14.5% 13.3% 11.5% 8.6% 3.0%
Caroline Benson 7.3% 6.5% 8.3% 12.0% 11.0% 13.3% 16.0% 18.4% 7.2%
Jack Brown 21.5% 20.9% 17.9% 12.1% 12.7% 7.4% 5.0% 2.2% 0.3%
Pierce Ornstein 4.5% 5.4% 7.0% 8.6% 9.2% 12.0% 14.8% 20.1% 18.4%
Connor Bayless 21.7% 20.8% 16.6% 15.3% 11.0% 8.1% 4.7% 1.4% 0.4%
Taylor Hasson 6.6% 5.6% 7.9% 10.2% 10.8% 14.5% 19.0% 15.3% 10.1%
Cameron Giblin 16.2% 16.3% 15.4% 12.7% 13.7% 10.8% 8.5% 5.1% 1.3%
Carlyn Blauvelt 1.8% 2.4% 2.7% 2.1% 4.2% 4.9% 8.9% 16.7% 56.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.