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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.49+3.80vs Predicted
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2Tulane University2.70+2.59vs Predicted
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3Tulane University2.94+0.94vs Predicted
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4Tulane University2.16+1.39vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston2.06+0.55vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy3.25-2.71vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.23-3.66vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston1.68-1.66vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy0.78-1.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.8U. S. Naval Academy2.490.1%1st Place
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4.59Tulane University2.700.1%1st Place
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3.94Tulane University2.940.2%1st Place
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5.39Tulane University2.160.1%1st Place
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5.55College of Charleston2.060.1%1st Place
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3.29U. S. Naval Academy3.250.2%1st Place
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3.34College of Charleston3.230.2%1st Place
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6.34College of Charleston1.680.1%1st Place
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7.76U. S. Naval Academy0.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gray Benson | 10.5% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 12.1% | 14.2% | 13.4% | 13.7% | 10.5% | 3.9% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 9.6% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 15.2% | 15.2% | 14.4% | 10.8% | 7.3% | 3.7% |
| Cameron Giblin | 16.0% | 14.9% | 16.3% | 12.1% | 14.9% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 4.4% | 0.9% |
| Caroline Benson | 6.9% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 14.2% | 16.6% | 15.5% | 6.9% |
| Taylor Hasson | 6.5% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 13.6% | 15.6% | 16.0% | 10.4% |
| Connor Bayless | 21.0% | 20.8% | 17.4% | 14.5% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
| Jack Brown | 22.1% | 18.6% | 16.9% | 14.3% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 0.3% |
| Pierce Ornstein | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 15.8% | 23.8% | 18.1% |
| Carlyn Blauvelt | 2.2% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 9.4% | 17.6% | 55.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.