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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University2.94+2.99vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.23+1.58vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.49+1.89vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston2.06+1.65vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy3.25-1.66vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy0.78+1.80vs Predicted
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7Tulane University2.70-2.53vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston1.68-1.55vs Predicted
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9Tulane University2.50-4.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.99Tulane University2.940.2%1st Place
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3.58College of Charleston3.230.2%1st Place
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4.89U. S. Naval Academy2.490.1%1st Place
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5.65College of Charleston2.060.1%1st Place
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3.34U. S. Naval Academy3.250.2%1st Place
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7.8U. S. Naval Academy0.780.0%1st Place
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4.47Tulane University2.700.1%1st Place
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6.45College of Charleston1.680.1%1st Place
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4.83Tulane University2.500.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Giblin | 15.4% | 15.2% | 14.2% | 15.2% | 13.3% | 11.7% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 1.2% |
| Jack Brown | 16.6% | 20.2% | 16.9% | 14.7% | 12.7% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Gray Benson | 8.9% | 10.2% | 12.1% | 11.8% | 14.0% | 12.4% | 15.6% | 12.1% | 2.9% |
| Taylor Hasson | 6.0% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 11.3% | 14.2% | 15.0% | 18.0% | 9.9% |
| Connor Bayless | 23.9% | 20.2% | 14.8% | 12.5% | 10.8% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 0.8% |
| Carlyn Blauvelt | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 16.0% | 57.8% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 11.7% | 11.0% | 13.9% | 14.6% | 13.4% | 14.8% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 2.4% |
| Pierce Ornstein | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 10.9% | 16.0% | 23.8% | 20.5% |
| Thad Lettsome | 10.5% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 13.8% | 13.7% | 14.3% | 11.1% | 3.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.