Race 4A

navy-spring-fleet-race

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Ciara Rodriguez-Horan 12.8% 11.3% 10.8% 12.3% 15.4% 11.9% 12.7% 10.2% 2.6%
Gray Benson 7.2% 8.0% 12.9% 11.4% 12.8% 13.9% 14.2% 13.2% 6.4%
Connor Bayless 20.1% 16.8% 17.0% 15.3% 11.3% 10.4% 5.9% 2.6% 0.6%
Jack Brown 19.6% 20.6% 16.0% 14.7% 10.7% 9.2% 5.3% 3.4% 0.5%
Cameron Giblin 16.2% 17.5% 14.2% 11.8% 11.6% 10.9% 9.5% 6.4% 1.9%
Hunter Skinner 6.6% 8.1% 8.7% 10.2% 12.5% 12.8% 16.9% 16.2% 8.0%
Thad Lettsome 8.7% 9.8% 11.2% 11.6% 12.3% 14.6% 14.1% 13.7% 4.0%
Taylor Hasson 7.0% 5.4% 7.2% 10.1% 9.9% 12.4% 14.2% 20.7% 13.1%
Carlyn Blauvelt 1.8% 2.5% 2.0% 2.6% 3.5% 3.9% 7.2% 13.6% 62.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.