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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.28+3.29vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.40+2.06vs Predicted
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3Cornell University1.79+2.32vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania2.16+0.73vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.77+0.54vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57-1.75vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University1.26-0.54vs Predicted
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8Fordham University1.98-2.71vs Predicted
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9George Washington University1.82-3.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.29U. S. Naval Academy2.2814.9%1st Place
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4.06Georgetown University2.4016.4%1st Place
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5.32Cornell University1.798.8%1st Place
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4.73University of Pennsylvania2.1612.1%1st Place
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5.54Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.778.1%1st Place
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4.25St. Mary's College of Maryland2.5714.1%1st Place
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6.46Old Dominion University1.264.6%1st Place
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5.29Fordham University1.989.6%1st Place
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5.06George Washington University1.8211.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
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Jack Welburn | 14.9% | 15.2% | 12.8% | 12.6% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 4.9% |
Mateo Di Blasi | 16.4% | 15.2% | 14.8% | 13.1% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 5.9% | 2.9% |
Sophia Devling | 8.8% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 12.4% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 12.5% | 13.1% |
Jackson McAliley | 12.1% | 10.9% | 12.6% | 12.5% | 12.5% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 7.3% |
Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 8.1% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 13.7% | 14.6% | 14.8% |
Owen Hennessey | 14.1% | 15.2% | 14.6% | 11.8% | 12.1% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 4.0% |
Blake Goodwin | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 15.7% | 30.9% |
Jacob Zils | 9.6% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 13.7% | 12.7% |
Tyler Wood | 11.3% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 11.4% | 12.0% | 12.4% | 9.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.