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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.06+7.87vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.28+6.11vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University3.00+2.50vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.73+6.49vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.02+4.06vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.33+2.22vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University1.63+3.84vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University1.20+4.14vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.13+0.02vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.15-1.36vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.630.00vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.50-4.64vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island2.80-6.72vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island2.36-5.97vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island2.20-6.47vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island2.07-6.91vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University1.38-5.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.87Roger Williams University2.060.1%1st Place
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8.11University of Rhode Island2.280.1%1st Place
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5.5Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
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10.49University of Rhode Island1.730.0%1st Place
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9.06University of Rhode Island2.020.1%1st Place
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8.22Roger Williams University2.330.1%1st Place
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10.84Roger Williams University1.630.0%1st Place
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12.14Roger Williams University1.200.0%1st Place
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9.02Roger Williams University2.130.0%1st Place
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8.64University of Rhode Island2.150.1%1st Place
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11.0Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.630.0%1st Place
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7.36Roger Williams University2.500.1%1st Place
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6.28University of Rhode Island2.800.1%1st Place
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8.03University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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8.53University of Rhode Island2.200.1%1st Place
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9.09University of Rhode Island2.070.0%1st Place
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11.83Roger Williams University1.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Higham | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 2.5% |
| Michael O'Flaherty | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 1.6% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 13.3% | 12.7% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.3% |
| Zachary Champney | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 9.1% |
| Kylie Castellano | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 4.3% |
| John Walton | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 1.2% |
| William Bailey | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 10.0% |
| Michaela ODonnell | 3.0% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 24.1% |
| Riley Read | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 2.9% |
| Rebecca Read | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.1% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 11.7% | 13.3% |
| Cameron Wood | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.2% |
| Aidan naughton | 11.3% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Parker Colantuono | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 1.6% |
| Christian Moffitt | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.3% |
| Ben Rosenberg | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 3.6% |
| Luke Hosek | 1.5% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 18.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.