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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University3.00+4.29vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.50+5.18vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.06+6.09vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.33+4.05vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.13+3.60vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.20+2.71vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.73+3.40vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University1.63+2.61vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.28-0.65vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.15-1.40vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.07-1.69vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island2.80-5.80vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island2.36-4.99vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University1.38-2.06vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island2.02-5.73vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University1.20-3.51vs Predicted
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17Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.63-6.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.29Roger Williams University3.000.2%1st Place
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7.18Roger Williams University2.500.1%1st Place
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9.09Roger Williams University2.060.1%1st Place
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8.05Roger Williams University2.330.1%1st Place
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8.6Roger Williams University2.130.1%1st Place
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8.71University of Rhode Island2.200.1%1st Place
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10.4University of Rhode Island1.730.0%1st Place
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10.61Roger Williams University1.630.0%1st Place
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8.35University of Rhode Island2.280.1%1st Place
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8.6University of Rhode Island2.150.0%1st Place
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9.31University of Rhode Island2.070.1%1st Place
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6.2University of Rhode Island2.800.1%1st Place
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8.01University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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11.94Roger Williams University1.380.0%1st Place
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9.27University of Rhode Island2.020.1%1st Place
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12.49Roger Williams University1.200.0%1st Place
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10.89Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Hoogland | 15.8% | 12.1% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Wood | 7.7% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| George Higham | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 3.7% |
| John Walton | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.3% |
| Riley Read | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.1% |
| Christian Moffitt | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 2.7% |
| Zachary Champney | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.3% |
| William Bailey | 4.4% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 11.4% | 10.2% |
| Michael O'Flaherty | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 1.9% |
| Rebecca Read | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 2.7% |
| Ben Rosenberg | 5.7% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 5.0% |
| Aidan naughton | 10.5% | 11.8% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Parker Colantuono | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.3% |
| Luke Hosek | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 13.8% | 18.0% |
| Kylie Castellano | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% |
| Michaela ODonnell | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 13.8% | 22.8% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 2.0% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 11.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.