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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.20+7.34vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.50+5.22vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.28+5.25vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.80+2.20vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.13+3.59vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University1.63+4.96vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.06+2.11vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University3.00-2.53vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.63+2.01vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.07-1.08vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University1.38+0.82vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island2.15-3.30vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University2.33-4.84vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University1.20-1.47vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island2.36-7.09vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island2.02-6.67vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island1.73-6.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.34University of Rhode Island2.200.1%1st Place
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7.22Roger Williams University2.500.1%1st Place
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8.25University of Rhode Island2.280.1%1st Place
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6.2University of Rhode Island2.800.1%1st Place
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8.59Roger Williams University2.130.1%1st Place
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10.96Roger Williams University1.630.0%1st Place
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9.11Roger Williams University2.060.1%1st Place
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5.47Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
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11.01Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.630.0%1st Place
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8.92University of Rhode Island2.070.0%1st Place
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11.82Roger Williams University1.380.0%1st Place
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8.7University of Rhode Island2.150.1%1st Place
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8.16Roger Williams University2.330.1%1st Place
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12.53Roger Williams University1.200.0%1st Place
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7.91University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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9.33University of Rhode Island2.020.0%1st Place
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10.46University of Rhode Island1.730.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Moffitt | 7.1% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 1.7% |
| Cameron Wood | 8.7% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Michael O'Flaherty | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.3% |
| Aidan naughton | 10.8% | 11.5% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% |
| Riley Read | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.8% |
| William Bailey | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 10.9% |
| George Higham | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 3.3% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 14.0% | 14.4% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 10.7% |
| Ben Rosenberg | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.3% |
| Luke Hosek | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 10.2% | 13.5% | 18.0% |
| Rebecca Read | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.8% |
| John Walton | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.4% |
| Michaela ODonnell | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 14.0% | 23.4% |
| Parker Colantuono | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.1% |
| Kylie Castellano | 4.5% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 4.6% |
| Zachary Champney | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 8.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.