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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
5.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.50+6.11vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.02+7.16vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.73+7.37vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University1.20+8.40vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University1.38+6.60vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.20+2.70vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.13+1.83vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University1.63+2.56vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.80-2.68vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.28-1.89vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.07-1.77vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.63-1.21vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University2.06-3.77vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University2.33-5.80vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University3.00-9.43vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island2.15-7.19vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island2.36-9.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.11Roger Williams University2.500.1%1st Place
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9.16University of Rhode Island2.020.1%1st Place
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10.37University of Rhode Island1.730.0%1st Place
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12.4Roger Williams University1.200.0%1st Place
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11.6Roger Williams University1.380.0%1st Place
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8.7University of Rhode Island2.200.1%1st Place
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8.83Roger Williams University2.130.1%1st Place
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10.56Roger Williams University1.630.0%1st Place
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6.32University of Rhode Island2.800.1%1st Place
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8.11University of Rhode Island2.280.1%1st Place
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9.23University of Rhode Island2.070.1%1st Place
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10.79Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.630.0%1st Place
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9.23Roger Williams University2.060.0%1st Place
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8.2Roger Williams University2.330.1%1st Place
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5.57Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
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8.81University of Rhode Island2.150.1%1st Place
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8.0University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Wood | 10.1% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.8% |
| Kylie Castellano | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.6% |
| Zachary Champney | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 8.8% |
| Michaela ODonnell | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 14.5% | 23.3% |
| Luke Hosek | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 12.5% | 16.5% |
| Christian Moffitt | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 2.8% |
| Riley Read | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 3.0% | 3.0% |
| William Bailey | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 11.2% |
| Aidan naughton | 9.4% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Michael O'Flaherty | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 1.8% |
| Ben Rosenberg | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 3.7% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 11.0% |
| George Higham | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.7% |
| John Walton | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.8% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 14.0% | 12.8% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Rebecca Read | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.3% |
| Parker Colantuono | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.