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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Rollins College0.50+5.15vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida0.45+4.38vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University0.68+2.72vs Predicted
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4Rollins College-0.04+4.10vs Predicted
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5University of Miami0.50+0.90vs Predicted
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6Embry-Riddle University-0.27+3.19vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida0.77-1.95vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University-0.67+2.10vs Predicted
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9Jacksonville University0.32-2.16vs Predicted
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10University of Miami0.02-2.20vs Predicted
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11Jacksonville University-0.33-2.15vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida-0.16-3.68vs Predicted
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13Palm Beach Atlantic University-1.11-0.96vs Predicted
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14Florida Institute of Technology-0.64-4.01vs Predicted
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15University of Florida-0.69-4.70vs Predicted
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16University of Central Florida-3.16-0.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.15Rollins College0.5010.1%1st Place
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6.38University of South Florida0.459.2%1st Place
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5.72Jacksonville University0.6810.8%1st Place
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8.1Rollins College-0.045.8%1st Place
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5.9University of Miami0.5010.4%1st Place
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9.19Embry-Riddle University-0.274.2%1st Place
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5.05University of South Florida0.7713.2%1st Place
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10.1Jacksonville University-0.673.0%1st Place
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6.84Jacksonville University0.328.1%1st Place
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7.8University of Miami0.025.9%1st Place
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8.85Jacksonville University-0.335.2%1st Place
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8.32University of South Florida-0.165.7%1st Place
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12.04Palm Beach Atlantic University-1.111.9%1st Place
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9.99Florida Institute of Technology-0.643.4%1st Place
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10.3University of Florida-0.692.8%1st Place
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15.27University of Central Florida-3.160.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annie Samis | 10.1% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Sara Menesale | 9.2% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Parker Thran | 10.8% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Milo Fleming | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 0.6% |
| Brendan Jay | 10.4% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Mason Howell | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 1.1% |
| Ghislaine van Empel | 13.2% | 13.9% | 11.9% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Conner Brandon | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 12.1% | 3.2% |
| Mason Mattice | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Harrison Vanderground | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Cheyenne Dooley | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 1.0% |
| Beatriz Newland | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 0.4% |
| Nathan Hjort | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 14.5% | 28.7% | 8.6% |
| Noah Scholtz | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 2.5% |
| Justin Tribou | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 13.8% | 13.2% | 2.1% |
| Ashley Flanagan | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 7.5% | 79.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.