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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University0.93+4.61vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67+3.89vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.63+3.01vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.20-1.05vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.04-1.51vs Predicted
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6Cornell University1.14-1.17vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania1.16-1.82vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University0.97-2.88vs Predicted
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9Fordham University0.71-3.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.61George Washington University0.937.0%1st Place
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5.89St. Mary's College of Maryland0.675.8%1st Place
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6.01Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.635.9%1st Place
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2.95Georgetown University2.2027.4%1st Place
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3.49U. S. Naval Academy2.0420.8%1st Place
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4.83Cornell University1.1410.0%1st Place
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5.18University of Pennsylvania1.168.5%1st Place
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5.12Old Dominion University0.978.2%1st Place
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5.94Fordham University0.716.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avery Canavan | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 14.8% | 13.7% | 14.6% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 5.8% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 14.1% | 15.2% | 18.9% |
| Sabrina Starck | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 11.3% | 14.1% | 16.4% | 20.1% |
| Piper Holthus | 27.4% | 21.6% | 17.8% | 12.5% | 10.0% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 20.8% | 18.2% | 16.7% | 14.4% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 1.5% |
| Ava Gustafson | 10.0% | 11.7% | 11.6% | 12.1% | 15.2% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 7.3% |
| Adra Ivancich | 8.5% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 13.0% | 13.6% | 12.6% | 12.4% | 8.9% |
| Gianna Dewey | 8.2% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 13.6% | 11.7% | 12.5% | 8.9% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 14.1% | 15.6% | 19.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.