Race 1A

odu-spring-fleet-race

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Alfonso Garcia Bringas 27.8% 19.2% 16.7% 11.1% 10.2% 7.4% 3.2% 2.0% 1.1% 0.8% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Dreugh Phillips 13.1% 14.8% 13.4% 14.1% 10.1% 9.9% 7.4% 6.8% 3.8% 4.0% 1.5% 0.9% 0.2%
Parker Purrington 4.7% 5.8% 5.7% 9.6% 7.5% 8.6% 9.1% 9.6% 11.0% 9.8% 6.8% 7.0% 4.8%
Bridget Groble 5.6% 6.0% 6.2% 7.6% 9.8% 7.9% 8.5% 9.2% 10.0% 7.9% 9.7% 7.7% 3.9%
Telmo Basterra 10.1% 11.8% 11.4% 9.3% 11.7% 8.9% 9.4% 9.8% 5.4% 5.2% 4.4% 2.2% 0.4%
John Glenn 4.3% 3.8% 5.1% 5.4% 7.0% 6.1% 6.6% 8.0% 9.7% 11.4% 11.0% 11.0% 10.6%
Hannah Pokorny 5.4% 4.2% 4.6% 5.0% 6.2% 5.9% 7.5% 6.4% 8.8% 11.6% 13.0% 11.3% 10.1%
Megan Geith 2.2% 3.3% 3.4% 2.6% 3.6% 4.5% 5.4% 6.0% 7.2% 8.8% 11.9% 16.2% 24.9%
Elizabeth Gildea 2.9% 3.7% 4.3% 3.9% 3.4% 5.3% 6.3% 7.0% 9.3% 9.4% 11.0% 16.0% 17.5%
Ian Hunter 3.1% 3.4% 2.9% 3.8% 4.3% 4.2% 6.7% 7.4% 7.8% 8.9% 11.4% 14.5% 21.6%
Samuel Baker 7.4% 7.7% 9.0% 9.4% 9.3% 9.9% 8.9% 9.5% 8.8% 7.4% 6.1% 4.5% 2.1%
Andre Guaragna 7.7% 8.4% 9.3% 10.4% 8.6% 10.3% 10.4% 9.2% 8.8% 6.7% 5.4% 3.0% 1.8%
Chris Kiener 5.7% 7.9% 8.0% 7.8% 8.3% 11.1% 10.6% 9.1% 8.3% 8.1% 7.3% 5.7% 2.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.