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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.36+2.82vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.80+1.19vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17+1.19vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60-0.74vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College1.11+1.01vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island1.73-1.05vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College0.73-0.11vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.57-2.69vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College0.40-1.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.82University of Rhode Island2.360.2%1st Place
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3.19University of Rhode Island2.800.2%1st Place
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4.19U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.170.1%1st Place
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3.26U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.2%1st Place
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6.01Connecticut College1.110.0%1st Place
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4.95University of Rhode Island1.730.1%1st Place
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6.89Connecticut College0.730.0%1st Place
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5.31University of Rhode Island1.570.1%1st Place
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7.38Connecticut College0.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parker Colantuono | 17.1% | 14.4% | 16.2% | 16.1% | 12.7% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 4.1% | 0.3% |
| Aidan naughton | 20.1% | 24.2% | 16.0% | 16.5% | 10.9% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Matthew Kickhafer | 13.4% | 12.6% | 15.1% | 13.7% | 15.5% | 13.8% | 9.1% | 5.3% | 1.5% |
| Daniel Unangst | 22.2% | 19.5% | 18.4% | 14.2% | 11.3% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Aili Moffet | 4.4% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 15.3% | 19.1% | 15.5% |
| Zachary Champney | 8.8% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 15.8% | 16.3% | 13.8% | 11.0% | 3.4% |
| Miya Preyer | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 15.9% | 25.3% | 26.6% |
| Ryan Palardy | 8.0% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 12.9% | 16.1% | 14.9% | 13.1% | 7.6% |
| Christina Van Dyke | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 9.0% | 13.0% | 18.4% | 44.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.