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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College1.11+5.17vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.80+1.12vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.73+2.07vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.57+1.24vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17-0.98vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.36-2.23vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College0.73-0.09vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College0.40-0.64vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60-5.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.17Connecticut College1.110.1%1st Place
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3.12University of Rhode Island2.800.2%1st Place
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5.07University of Rhode Island1.730.1%1st Place
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5.24University of Rhode Island1.570.1%1st Place
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4.02U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.170.1%1st Place
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3.77University of Rhode Island2.360.2%1st Place
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6.91Connecticut College0.730.0%1st Place
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7.36Connecticut College0.400.0%1st Place
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3.35U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aili Moffet | 5.6% | 3.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 12.4% | 18.2% | 21.4% | 14.8% |
| Aidan naughton | 22.6% | 22.3% | 16.9% | 14.9% | 12.3% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Zachary Champney | 7.5% | 8.0% | 11.0% | 13.2% | 13.9% | 16.0% | 15.0% | 11.6% | 3.8% |
| Ryan Palardy | 6.2% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 11.7% | 15.1% | 14.4% | 15.3% | 12.4% | 6.2% |
| Matthew Kickhafer | 13.9% | 17.8% | 14.6% | 13.4% | 11.4% | 13.0% | 9.4% | 4.4% | 2.1% |
| Parker Colantuono | 16.8% | 15.0% | 16.3% | 15.9% | 14.2% | 11.7% | 6.0% | 2.6% | 1.5% |
| Miya Preyer | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 15.1% | 25.1% | 27.5% |
| Christina Van Dyke | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 8.3% | 13.0% | 18.7% | 43.7% |
| Daniel Unangst | 21.3% | 18.4% | 17.6% | 15.0% | 12.4% | 8.2% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.