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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.36+2.79vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.80+1.19vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17+1.19vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60-0.76vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.73-0.09vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College0.40+1.35vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College1.11-0.79vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.57-2.75vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College0.73-2.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.79University of Rhode Island2.360.2%1st Place
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3.19University of Rhode Island2.800.2%1st Place
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4.19U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.170.1%1st Place
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3.24U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.2%1st Place
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4.91University of Rhode Island1.730.1%1st Place
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7.35Connecticut College0.400.0%1st Place
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6.21Connecticut College1.110.0%1st Place
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5.25University of Rhode Island1.570.1%1st Place
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6.87Connecticut College0.730.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parker Colantuono | 17.2% | 14.9% | 15.1% | 16.9% | 12.8% | 11.1% | 7.9% | 3.6% | 0.5% |
| Aidan naughton | 20.0% | 24.2% | 16.8% | 15.6% | 11.0% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Matthew Kickhafer | 14.1% | 11.7% | 14.4% | 13.6% | 17.1% | 12.6% | 10.8% | 4.5% | 1.2% |
| Daniel Unangst | 21.9% | 19.6% | 19.3% | 14.1% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Zachary Champney | 8.8% | 10.7% | 12.7% | 11.1% | 14.8% | 11.8% | 13.2% | 11.2% | 5.7% |
| Christina Van Dyke | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 22.9% | 40.8% |
| Aili Moffet | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 13.9% | 18.5% | 19.9% | 15.4% |
| Ryan Palardy | 8.0% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 12.1% | 17.3% | 14.7% | 12.9% | 6.5% |
| Miya Preyer | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 10.7% | 16.0% | 21.6% | 29.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.