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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.80+2.03vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.36+1.96vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17+1.17vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60-0.78vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.73-0.13vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College1.11+0.18vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.57-1.65vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College0.73-1.15vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College0.40-1.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.03University of Rhode Island2.800.3%1st Place
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3.96University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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4.17U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.170.1%1st Place
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3.22U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.2%1st Place
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4.87University of Rhode Island1.730.1%1st Place
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6.18Connecticut College1.110.0%1st Place
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5.35University of Rhode Island1.570.1%1st Place
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6.85Connecticut College0.730.0%1st Place
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7.37Connecticut College0.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan naughton | 25.2% | 22.1% | 16.4% | 15.1% | 10.0% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Parker Colantuono | 11.8% | 17.5% | 15.2% | 17.0% | 14.8% | 11.3% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 1.5% |
| Matthew Kickhafer | 14.3% | 11.6% | 14.8% | 13.7% | 15.8% | 14.2% | 10.1% | 4.5% | 1.0% |
| Daniel Unangst | 21.5% | 20.2% | 18.7% | 14.9% | 11.5% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% |
| Zachary Champney | 8.9% | 10.3% | 13.5% | 12.0% | 13.4% | 12.5% | 13.7% | 10.4% | 5.3% |
| Aili Moffet | 4.9% | 4.0% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 12.5% | 18.5% | 20.9% | 14.8% |
| Ryan Palardy | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 12.5% | 19.5% | 14.7% | 12.9% | 6.7% |
| Miya Preyer | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 15.6% | 24.2% | 27.3% |
| Christina Van Dyke | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 12.3% | 20.8% | 42.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.