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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17+3.15vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.73+3.18vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.57+2.35vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.80-1.05vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.36-1.32vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60-2.68vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College1.11-0.81vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College0.73-1.20vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College0.40-1.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.170.1%1st Place
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5.18University of Rhode Island1.730.1%1st Place
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5.35University of Rhode Island1.570.1%1st Place
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2.95University of Rhode Island2.800.2%1st Place
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3.68University of Rhode Island2.360.2%1st Place
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3.32U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.2%1st Place
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6.19Connecticut College1.110.0%1st Place
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6.8Connecticut College0.730.0%1st Place
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7.38Connecticut College0.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Kickhafer | 13.8% | 11.6% | 14.7% | 16.3% | 16.2% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 5.2% | 0.9% |
| Zachary Champney | 5.7% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 13.1% | 13.9% | 16.5% | 14.1% | 11.9% | 5.3% |
| Ryan Palardy | 7.0% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 12.7% | 14.8% | 17.1% | 13.9% | 6.2% |
| Aidan naughton | 24.9% | 23.7% | 18.2% | 13.3% | 9.7% | 6.2% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Parker Colantuono | 16.8% | 19.8% | 16.0% | 12.5% | 12.9% | 10.5% | 7.2% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Daniel Unangst | 21.1% | 17.9% | 18.6% | 15.5% | 12.5% | 8.7% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Aili Moffet | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 13.5% | 19.0% | 19.9% | 14.9% |
| Miya Preyer | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 10.5% | 15.1% | 22.9% | 27.6% |
| Christina Van Dyke | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 20.4% | 43.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.