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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.40+3.00vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57+2.22vs Predicted
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3George Washington University1.82+2.11vs Predicted
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4Cornell University1.79+1.41vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University1.26+1.42vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.77-0.54vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania2.16-2.24vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.28-3.62vs Predicted
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9Fordham University1.98-3.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.0Georgetown University2.4018.3%1st Place
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4.22St. Mary's College of Maryland2.5714.5%1st Place
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5.11George Washington University1.8211.1%1st Place
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5.41Cornell University1.798.6%1st Place
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6.42Old Dominion University1.266.0%1st Place
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5.46Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.778.0%1st Place
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4.76University of Pennsylvania2.1611.0%1st Place
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4.38U. S. Naval Academy2.2812.7%1st Place
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5.26Fordham University1.989.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
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Mateo Di Blasi | 18.3% | 14.7% | 14.0% | 12.8% | 12.8% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 3.5% |
Owen Hennessey | 14.5% | 15.6% | 13.4% | 13.1% | 13.2% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 4.3% |
Tyler Wood | 11.1% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 12.2% | 10.5% | 12.3% | 12.8% | 12.3% | 9.9% |
Sophia Devling | 8.6% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 13.3% | 14.5% | 13.0% |
Blake Goodwin | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 16.1% | 30.3% |
Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 8.0% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 13.1% | 13.2% | 13.1% | 14.0% |
Jackson McAliley | 11.0% | 13.4% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 12.6% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 6.9% |
Jack Welburn | 12.7% | 14.3% | 14.8% | 12.4% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 7.2% | 5.0% |
Jacob Zils | 9.8% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 12.9% | 13.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.