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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.73+4.00vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60+1.52vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.36+0.82vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.80-1.10vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17-0.95vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island1.57-0.74vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College1.11-0.79vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College0.40-0.62vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College0.73-2.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.0University of Rhode Island1.730.1%1st Place
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3.52U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.2%1st Place
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3.82University of Rhode Island2.360.2%1st Place
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2.9University of Rhode Island2.800.3%1st Place
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4.05U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.170.1%1st Place
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5.26University of Rhode Island1.570.1%1st Place
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6.21Connecticut College1.110.0%1st Place
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7.38Connecticut College0.400.0%1st Place
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6.86Connecticut College0.730.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachary Champney | 8.6% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 12.1% | 14.0% | 14.8% | 16.5% | 9.7% | 4.7% |
| Daniel Unangst | 16.5% | 19.3% | 16.9% | 19.4% | 12.1% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Parker Colantuono | 16.4% | 14.5% | 15.4% | 16.4% | 14.4% | 12.3% | 6.6% | 3.3% | 0.7% |
| Aidan naughton | 26.6% | 22.8% | 18.9% | 13.0% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Matthew Kickhafer | 14.1% | 15.8% | 16.1% | 12.2% | 13.7% | 11.9% | 9.6% | 4.5% | 2.1% |
| Ryan Palardy | 7.4% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 13.6% | 15.4% | 15.9% | 13.0% | 6.0% |
| Aili Moffet | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 13.7% | 18.8% | 19.5% | 15.2% |
| Christina Van Dyke | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 21.1% | 43.2% |
| Miya Preyer | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 14.6% | 25.2% | 27.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.