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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.80+2.01vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.73+3.20vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.36+0.83vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60-0.74vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.57+0.18vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17-1.92vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College0.73-0.12vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College1.11-1.83vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College0.40-1.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.01University of Rhode Island2.800.2%1st Place
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5.2University of Rhode Island1.730.1%1st Place
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3.83University of Rhode Island2.360.2%1st Place
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3.26U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.2%1st Place
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5.18University of Rhode Island1.570.1%1st Place
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4.08U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.170.1%1st Place
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6.88Connecticut College0.730.0%1st Place
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6.17Connecticut College1.110.1%1st Place
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7.39Connecticut College0.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan naughton | 24.9% | 21.8% | 18.1% | 13.7% | 10.8% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Zachary Champney | 6.5% | 7.3% | 10.7% | 12.9% | 14.9% | 15.1% | 15.9% | 12.0% | 4.7% |
| Parker Colantuono | 15.9% | 15.6% | 16.0% | 14.4% | 15.2% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 3.0% | 0.6% |
| Daniel Unangst | 21.4% | 19.4% | 18.6% | 14.8% | 12.3% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Ryan Palardy | 7.7% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 14.7% | 14.4% | 11.7% | 8.0% |
| Matthew Kickhafer | 12.8% | 15.1% | 13.6% | 16.6% | 14.1% | 14.0% | 8.6% | 4.0% | 1.2% |
| Miya Preyer | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 10.8% | 14.1% | 26.2% | 26.6% |
| Aili Moffet | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 13.9% | 17.7% | 21.1% | 14.7% |
| Christina Van Dyke | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 7.9% | 12.1% | 19.8% | 43.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.