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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17+3.16vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.73+3.15vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.36+0.83vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.80-1.06vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60-1.72vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island1.57-0.77vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College0.73-0.12vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College1.11-1.84vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College0.40-1.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.170.1%1st Place
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5.15University of Rhode Island1.730.1%1st Place
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3.83University of Rhode Island2.360.2%1st Place
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2.94University of Rhode Island2.800.2%1st Place
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3.28U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.2%1st Place
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5.23University of Rhode Island1.570.1%1st Place
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6.88Connecticut College0.730.0%1st Place
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6.16Connecticut College1.110.1%1st Place
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7.38Connecticut College0.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Kickhafer | 13.9% | 11.7% | 14.3% | 16.7% | 15.9% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 5.0% | 1.1% |
| Zachary Champney | 5.7% | 8.5% | 11.8% | 13.1% | 15.0% | 13.7% | 16.0% | 10.8% | 5.4% |
| Parker Colantuono | 15.5% | 15.7% | 15.4% | 16.1% | 14.0% | 12.5% | 7.0% | 3.1% | 0.7% |
| Aidan naughton | 24.4% | 24.3% | 18.4% | 14.0% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Daniel Unangst | 22.2% | 22.1% | 15.5% | 13.7% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Ryan Palardy | 7.1% | 7.4% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 14.1% | 16.6% | 15.6% | 11.0% | 6.5% |
| Miya Preyer | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 10.9% | 14.8% | 24.9% | 27.1% |
| Aili Moffet | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 10.9% | 13.8% | 16.0% | 21.0% | 15.5% |
| Christina Van Dyke | 2.6% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 11.9% | 21.2% | 42.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.