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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.36+2.76vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.57+3.51vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.80+0.02vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17+0.03vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60-1.69vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College1.11+0.15vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.73-2.00vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College0.40-0.63vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College0.73-2.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.76University of Rhode Island2.360.2%1st Place
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5.51University of Rhode Island1.570.1%1st Place
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3.02University of Rhode Island2.800.2%1st Place
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4.03U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.170.1%1st Place
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3.31U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.2%1st Place
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6.15Connecticut College1.110.0%1st Place
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5.0University of Rhode Island1.730.1%1st Place
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7.37Connecticut College0.400.0%1st Place
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6.86Connecticut College0.730.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parker Colantuono | 16.5% | 16.7% | 14.5% | 16.3% | 14.3% | 10.3% | 7.5% | 3.4% | 0.5% |
| Ryan Palardy | 5.3% | 5.8% | 10.0% | 11.4% | 14.5% | 15.7% | 15.7% | 12.5% | 9.1% |
| Aidan naughton | 24.3% | 22.1% | 18.3% | 13.5% | 11.4% | 6.4% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Kickhafer | 13.5% | 14.3% | 15.5% | 17.3% | 13.6% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 4.5% | 1.3% |
| Daniel Unangst | 22.8% | 21.1% | 15.0% | 13.5% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Aili Moffet | 4.1% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 12.5% | 18.7% | 19.6% | 15.3% |
| Zachary Champney | 7.3% | 9.1% | 12.1% | 11.3% | 15.8% | 16.0% | 13.6% | 10.6% | 4.2% |
| Christina Van Dyke | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 11.3% | 21.9% | 42.3% |
| Miya Preyer | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 11.4% | 16.2% | 24.2% | 26.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.