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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1The Citadel1.11+2.00vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.23-0.17vs Predicted
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3Georgia Institute of Technology0.45+0.74vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University1.24-1.11vs Predicted
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5Clemson University0.67-1.39vs Predicted
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6The Citadel-3.06-0.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.0The Citadel1.110.2%1st Place
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1.83College of Charleston2.230.5%1st Place
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3.74Georgia Institute of Technology0.450.1%1st Place
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2.89Jacksonville University1.240.2%1st Place
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3.61Clemson University0.670.1%1st Place
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5.92The Citadel-3.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gregory Walters | 15.7% | 23.6% | 23.5% | 19.7% | 17.0% | 0.5% |
| Axel Stordahl | 49.3% | 28.3% | 13.8% | 6.8% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Maggie Royal | 8.9% | 10.8% | 16.8% | 25.5% | 36.7% | 1.3% |
| Brent Penwarden | 16.4% | 24.2% | 25.4% | 22.6% | 11.1% | 0.3% |
| Carrie Marshall | 9.4% | 12.9% | 19.9% | 24.7% | 31.1% | 2.0% |
| Walter Prause | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 2.3% | 95.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.