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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.23+0.85vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University1.24+0.86vs Predicted
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3Clemson University0.67+0.50vs Predicted
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4The Citadel1.11-0.99vs Predicted
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5Georgia Institute of Technology0.45-1.15vs Predicted
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6The Citadel-3.06-0.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.85College of Charleston2.230.5%1st Place
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2.86Jacksonville University1.240.2%1st Place
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3.5Clemson University0.670.1%1st Place
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3.01The Citadel1.110.2%1st Place
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3.85Georgia Institute of Technology0.450.1%1st Place
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5.92The Citadel-3.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Axel Stordahl | 48.5% | 28.5% | 14.4% | 6.6% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Brent Penwarden | 17.3% | 25.4% | 25.0% | 19.3% | 12.7% | 0.3% |
| Carrie Marshall | 10.0% | 15.6% | 18.2% | 27.0% | 28.7% | 0.5% |
| Gregory Walters | 16.8% | 19.3% | 25.7% | 23.2% | 14.3% | 0.7% |
| Maggie Royal | 7.3% | 10.8% | 16.2% | 23.2% | 40.0% | 2.5% |
| Walter Prause | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 2.5% | 95.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.