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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1The Citadel1.11+2.02vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.23-0.17vs Predicted
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3Clemson University0.67+0.49vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University1.24-1.12vs Predicted
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5Georgia Institute of Technology0.45-1.14vs Predicted
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6The Citadel-3.06-0.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.02The Citadel1.110.2%1st Place
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1.83College of Charleston2.230.5%1st Place
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3.49Clemson University0.670.1%1st Place
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2.88Jacksonville University1.240.2%1st Place
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3.86Georgia Institute of Technology0.450.1%1st Place
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5.92The Citadel-3.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gregory Walters | 16.0% | 21.6% | 24.8% | 20.2% | 16.9% | 0.5% |
| Axel Stordahl | 49.6% | 27.5% | 14.8% | 6.1% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Carrie Marshall | 10.6% | 15.0% | 19.0% | 26.6% | 28.0% | 0.8% |
| Brent Penwarden | 16.3% | 24.5% | 25.2% | 23.4% | 10.2% | 0.4% |
| Maggie Royal | 7.2% | 11.1% | 15.7% | 23.2% | 40.3% | 2.5% |
| Walter Prause | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 2.6% | 95.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.