← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Jacksonville University1.24+1.94vs Predicted
-
2College of Charleston2.23-0.14vs Predicted
-
3The Citadel1.11+0.05vs Predicted
-
4Clemson University0.67-0.37vs Predicted
-
5Georgia Institute of Technology0.45-1.01vs Predicted
-
6The Citadel-1.12-0.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.94Jacksonville University1.240.2%1st Place
-
1.86College of Charleston2.230.5%1st Place
-
3.05The Citadel1.110.2%1st Place
-
3.63Clemson University0.670.1%1st Place
-
3.99Georgia Institute of Technology0.450.1%1st Place
-
5.52The Citadel-1.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brent Penwarden | 17.3% | 25.0% | 22.7% | 19.0% | 12.9% | 3.1% |
| Axel Stordahl | 49.2% | 26.9% | 15.1% | 6.4% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Gregory Walters | 15.9% | 21.5% | 23.0% | 22.6% | 14.9% | 2.1% |
| Carrie Marshall | 9.1% | 14.4% | 20.5% | 22.7% | 26.6% | 6.7% |
| Maggie Royal | 7.1% | 10.0% | 16.1% | 23.5% | 30.6% | 12.7% |
| Malcolm McAlister | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 5.8% | 12.9% | 75.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.