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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University1.14+3.84vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.20+1.05vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.04+0.66vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.63+1.85vs Predicted
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5George Washington University0.93+0.62vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University0.97-0.87vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67-1.12vs Predicted
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8Fordham University0.71-2.07vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania1.16-3.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.84Cornell University1.1410.0%1st Place
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3.05Georgetown University2.2026.2%1st Place
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3.66U. S. Naval Academy2.0419.7%1st Place
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5.85Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.636.9%1st Place
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5.62George Washington University0.936.8%1st Place
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5.13Old Dominion University0.979.7%1st Place
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5.88St. Mary's College of Maryland0.675.8%1st Place
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5.93Fordham University0.716.1%1st Place
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5.03University of Pennsylvania1.169.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
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Ava Gustafson | 10.0% | 11.7% | 12.3% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 12.4% | 11.9% | 10.4% | 7.1% |
Piper Holthus | 26.2% | 21.2% | 16.9% | 13.2% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% |
Eva Blauvelt | 19.7% | 17.2% | 16.7% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 1.8% |
Sabrina Starck | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 13.8% | 15.2% | 18.2% |
Avery Canavan | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 12.3% | 15.2% | 14.8% |
Gianna Dewey | 9.7% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 11.5% | 11.9% | 13.2% | 12.3% | 9.6% |
Cho-Cho Williams | 5.8% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 13.0% | 14.4% | 19.9% |
Lizzie Cochran | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 13.9% | 15.4% | 19.9% |
Adra Ivancich | 9.0% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 13.2% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 8.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.