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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1The Citadel1.11+2.15vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University1.24+0.90vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.23-1.18vs Predicted
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4The Citadel-1.12+1.46vs Predicted
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5Georgia Institute of Technology0.45-1.02vs Predicted
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6Clemson University0.67-2.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.15The Citadel1.110.1%1st Place
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2.9Jacksonville University1.240.2%1st Place
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1.82College of Charleston2.230.5%1st Place
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5.46The Citadel-1.120.0%1st Place
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3.98Georgia Institute of Technology0.450.1%1st Place
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3.69Clemson University0.670.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gregory Walters | 14.4% | 20.4% | 24.3% | 21.2% | 15.8% | 3.9% |
| Brent Penwarden | 19.0% | 24.7% | 21.2% | 19.6% | 13.4% | 2.1% |
| Axel Stordahl | 49.3% | 28.3% | 15.3% | 5.4% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Malcolm McAlister | 1.2% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 14.5% | 72.2% |
| Maggie Royal | 6.9% | 10.9% | 15.8% | 23.4% | 29.9% | 13.1% |
| Carrie Marshall | 9.2% | 13.2% | 19.2% | 25.0% | 24.8% | 8.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.