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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.93+9.50vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin3.31+6.95vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida3.49+5.19vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara3.09+5.82vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.56+3.02vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.91+0.46vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.10+2.75vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College3.71-0.48vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.65-1.71vs Predicted
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10Washington College3.07-0.26vs Predicted
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11Brown University4.30-5.90vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont2.93-1.22vs Predicted
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13Boston University3.03-3.27vs Predicted
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14Fordham University2.01+0.13vs Predicted
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15University of Miami3.25-5.96vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-7.76vs Predicted
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17Tulane University1.42-1.33vs Predicted
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18George Washington University1.30-1.87vs Predicted
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19Yale University1.64-4.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.5University of Rhode Island2.930.0%1st Place
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8.95University of Wisconsin3.310.1%1st Place
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8.19University of South Florida3.490.1%1st Place
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9.82University of California at Santa Barbara3.090.0%1st Place
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8.02Tufts University3.560.1%1st Place
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6.46Boston College3.910.1%1st Place
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9.75Harvard University3.100.0%1st Place
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7.52Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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7.29Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.650.1%1st Place
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9.74Washington College3.070.0%1st Place
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5.1Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
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10.78University of Vermont2.930.0%1st Place
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9.73Boston University3.030.0%1st Place
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14.13Fordham University2.010.0%1st Place
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9.04University of Miami3.250.1%1st Place
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8.24Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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15.67Tulane University1.420.0%1st Place
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16.13George Washington University1.300.0%1st Place
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14.92Yale University1.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Simmons | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 3.2% | 1.9% |
| Leif Evensen | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Will Stocke | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Willie McBride | 3.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Nicolas Russo-Larsson | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| William Bowman | 11.7% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Jason Michas | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Louis Padnos | 8.4% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Sam Fitzgerald | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Tommy Fink | 14.3% | 13.9% | 12.2% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kimberly Kaull | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| Ian Towill | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Edward Titcomb | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 11.5% | 14.5% | 16.1% | 11.1% |
| William Howard | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| David Alfonso | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Philip Krause | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 13.2% | 20.3% | 28.6% |
| Nicholas Koeniger | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 12.2% | 20.2% | 32.9% |
| Nathan Stevens | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 14.3% | 19.4% | 19.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.