← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Rhode Island2.93+1.99vs Predicted
-
2Roger Williams University2.06+2.90vs Predicted
-
3Boston College2.04+1.79vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11+0.44vs Predicted
-
5University of Rhode Island2.15-0.60vs Predicted
-
6Salve Regina University1.38+0.08vs Predicted
-
7Salve Regina University1.59-1.33vs Predicted
-
8Roger Williams University1.38-1.89vs Predicted
-
9Boston College1.62-3.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.99University of Rhode Island2.930.3%1st Place
-
4.9Roger Williams University2.060.1%1st Place
-
4.79Boston College2.040.1%1st Place
-
4.44U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
-
4.4University of Rhode Island2.150.1%1st Place
-
6.08Salve Regina University1.380.1%1st Place
-
5.67Salve Regina University1.590.1%1st Place
-
6.11Roger Williams University1.380.1%1st Place
-
5.61Boston College1.620.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Ingalls | 26.1% | 23.6% | 15.6% | 14.2% | 9.5% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 0.1% |
| George Higham | 8.3% | 11.2% | 12.7% | 13.0% | 13.3% | 12.1% | 12.2% | 9.8% | 7.4% |
| Libby Redmond | 11.4% | 10.6% | 12.6% | 11.5% | 11.7% | 14.6% | 11.4% | 9.2% | 7.0% |
| Emma Snead | 12.6% | 13.8% | 13.0% | 14.0% | 12.8% | 11.0% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 5.0% |
| Rebecca Read | 13.5% | 15.7% | 13.1% | 12.4% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 6.3% |
| Anthony Root | 6.0% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 13.7% | 17.3% | 20.6% |
| Joey Lark | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 12.3% | 11.4% | 14.5% | 16.0% | 13.8% |
| Luke Hosek | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 15.3% | 23.5% |
| Francis Selldorff | 7.8% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 12.7% | 13.2% | 12.8% | 16.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.