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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.93+2.00vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.06+2.88vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11+1.63vs Predicted
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4Boston College1.62+1.53vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University1.38+0.96vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.04-1.32vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University1.59-1.28vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University1.38-1.88vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.15-4.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.0University of Rhode Island2.930.3%1st Place
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4.88Roger Williams University2.060.1%1st Place
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4.63U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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5.53Boston College1.620.1%1st Place
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5.96Salve Regina University1.380.1%1st Place
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4.68Boston College2.040.1%1st Place
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5.72Salve Regina University1.590.1%1st Place
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6.12Roger Williams University1.380.1%1st Place
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4.47University of Rhode Island2.150.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Ingalls | 26.7% | 22.3% | 16.3% | 14.0% | 9.4% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| George Higham | 8.6% | 11.9% | 12.6% | 13.3% | 12.0% | 11.0% | 13.0% | 10.5% | 7.1% |
| Emma Snead | 12.5% | 11.6% | 13.5% | 11.5% | 12.6% | 11.6% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 5.8% |
| Francis Selldorff | 7.2% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 11.0% | 13.1% | 11.0% | 15.3% | 14.3% |
| Anthony Root | 6.2% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 13.6% | 15.1% | 21.8% |
| Libby Redmond | 11.0% | 12.1% | 12.1% | 12.8% | 13.6% | 12.2% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 5.7% |
| Joey Lark | 7.6% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 13.8% | 13.6% | 14.8% | 15.6% |
| Luke Hosek | 7.2% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 11.4% | 13.2% | 15.0% | 24.2% |
| Rebecca Read | 13.0% | 14.1% | 10.4% | 13.7% | 14.2% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 5.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.